Speaking of alternate timelines...

Jul. 29th, 2017 01:39 pm
selenak: (Sternennacht - Lefaym)
[personal profile] selenak
You know, in recent weeks there was a lot of talk, usually in the context of how ill advised the “Game of Thrones” makers idea of a show called “Confederate”, an AU in which an undefeated South with slavery intact continues to the present, was, about how sick people were of “what if the Nazis won?” or “what of the Confederacy won?” Aus. And I’m so with you; I was already sick of “what if the Nazis won?” dystopias several decades ago.

However. The combination of the recent (July 20th) anniversary of the 1944 assassination attempt on Hitler and me reading Kerr’s Bernie Gunther series made me wonder if anyone ever attempted a scenario in which one of the various attempts on Hitler’s life (from Georg Elser’s 1939 one onwards) succeeded. Historical attempts, that is, not fictional ones (looking at you, Quentin Tarantino). Probably not, because anything I can come up with would neither be a happy ending nor the awfulness that unfolded in reality, but…complicated. Not good for “good versus evil” role playing, which, let’s face it, is the main attraction for any WWII scenario, historical or AU, for the majority of people.

For starters, one common factor (which is also why I’m such a hard sell on “what if the Nazis won?” scenarios): there was so much infighting and hatred between Hitler’s flunkies that I can’t imagine the system holding up. The Third Reich wasn’t North Korea where you can replace one Dear Beloved Leader with another. Not least because while many of the upper level Nazis had great power in varying degrees, they weren’t personally popular, and more often than not were indeed disliked by the population at large. (“Wenn das der Führer wüßte”, i.e. “if only the Leader knew” was a catchphrase based on the naïve belief that all negative apparations of the NS regime were due to everyone else.) You couldn’t have just transferred the leader cult from a dead Hitler to whoever emerged victorious in the inevitable succession blood bath. The most likely candidate to unite both an already existing power base and popular appeal – indeed the only one among the top level Nazis with popular appeal – would have been Göring, who could trade both on his WWI veteran (and pilot – aviators were always popular) reputation and his chummy, genial manner. But by the late 30s and through the 40s, Göring was addicted to morphine, and the connected daze and laziness would have had him at a disadvantage re: his rivals. (One reason why Göring surprised many people in Nuremberg with his sharpness was that the Americans had weaned him off morphine and thus he was alert and all there for the first time in years. Of course, the imminent death sentence presumably also helped with his focus.)

Another common, depressing factor: there’s no way another Dolchstoßlegende (backstabbing legend) wouldn’t have developed, i.e. the myth that Germany could have won the war, if not for those traitors, etc., and this would have poisoned or at least heavily burdened whichever kind of German state would have existed next. Taking all that as a given, here are some possibilities I could come up with:

1.) The Georg Elser November 1939 assassination attempt succeeds as intended. Advantages: this would have gotten rid not only of Hitler but of many of the upper Nazi hierarchy, since they were present at the Munich Bürgerbräu where Elser had planted his bomb. Disadvantages: Elser worked alone. Which meant no one would have been ready to deal with the rest of the Nazi system. Likely result: I’m betting on a military dictatorship and/or an uneasy alliance between some top generals and some middle level Nazis. France had already fallen at that point, ditto Poland, but I don’t see the generals invading Russia. They’d likely have tried to negotiate peace with Britain and not tried to expand further. Whether or not Churchill would have gone for it in the case of a Hitler-less Germany… no idea. Would the Holocaust have proceeded further? Can’t make up my mind on that one, since it would have depended on just how many top level Nazis made it out alive, and whether or not the top military brass thought killing everyone in the already existing “work” camps would rid them of future embarrassment/retaliation, or whether they’d thought closing the camps in a non lethal manner would make it all go away.

2.) The March 1943 attempts. Advantages: this being post Stalingrad, this time parts of of the military were already involved, and thus there were some plans of what to do next. Disadvantages: these plans weren’t very thought out yet, and only Hitler would have died, which meant Goebbels, Himmler & Co. remained at large and more likely than not would have retaken control of the situation the way they did in rl in 1944. Nazi infighting wouldn’t have started until after the conspirators were dealt with. However, whichever victor emerged post Stalingrad would presumably have tried to negotiate a truce/peace with the Western Allies, because, well, Stalingrad, and the realization that you can’t win a war in Russia. Would the Holocaust have continued? Depressingly, in such a scenario my money is on a “let’s just kill everyone in the camps to ensure no survivors get nasty stories out” scenario.

3.) July 1944 attempt: aka the one with the biggest chance at actual success. Meaning that Himmler, Goebbels & Co. get arrested simultaneously with Hitler’s assassination as planned, Goerdeler becomes Chancellor and, backed by a bunch of generals as well as Canaris, starts peace negotiations. I think at this point the Allies would have insisted on unconditional surrender whether or not Hitler was still alive, and because the war situation as already very bad for Germany, Goerdeler and the generals would have agreed. There would have been a variation of the Nuremberg trials and an occupation. And no more death camps, meaning the saving of all people who died between July 44 and May 45. However, there would also, see above, a new backstabbing legend, and the July 44 conspirators would have been hated and reviled by the majority of the population which would have taken even longer to accept they’d all been part of a murder state. At best, I think Germany would have dealt with its guilt the way the Soviets did with the Stalinist purges – i.e. denial for decades save for a minority of the population, and only very late acceptance something monstrous had occurred.

Any agreements or disagreements? Alternate scenarios?

Daily Happiness

Jul. 29th, 2017 01:57 am
torachan: tavros from homestuck dressed as pupa pan (pupa pan)
[personal profile] torachan
1. Suuuper hectic again today, but at least it makes the day go by fast...

2. Carla grilled tonight and we had delicious tri-tip for dinner.

3. I got Hey! Pikmin in the mail today. It's pretty fun!

4. Jasper!

GIP: I love Shaw and her hat

Jul. 29th, 2017 02:00 pm
st_aurafina: Sameen Shaw walking in a desert with a hat on (POI: Shaw hat)
[personal profile] st_aurafina
Thursday's headlines about Trump and the military made for a fairly hellish day in the old brain weasel cage. I want to say that I love and support all my beautiful trans and genderqueer friends. You are valued and your friendship is treasured, and I am glad that you're here. I am proud to know you. <3

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[community profile] multifandomdrabble was so much fun! I posted my fics yesterday but I wanted to also link my gifts. I got lovely stuff!

Royal Circuit (100 words) by Trismegistus
Chapters: 1/1
Fandom: Captive Prince - C. S. Pacat
Rating: General Audiences
Warnings: No Archive Warnings Apply
Relationships: Damen/Laurent (Captive Prince)
Characters: Damen (Captive Prince), Laurent (Captive Prince)
Additional Tags: Teasing, Established Relationship, Fluff
Summary:

Laurent is a handful.



dog days (100 words) by sapphire2309
Chapters: 1/1
Fandom: Person of Interest (TV)
Rating: General Audiences
Warnings: No Archive Warnings Apply
Characters: Sameen Shaw, Bear (Person of Interest)
Summary:

The heat gets to Bear.



A New Hobby (100 words) by Isis
Chapters: 1/1
Fandom: Lord John Series - Diana Gabaldon
Rating: General Audiences
Warnings: No Archive Warnings Apply
Characters: Lord John Grey, Stephan von Namtzen
Additional Tags: Alternate Universe - Fusion, Stealth Crossover, Drabble
Summary:

Lord John Grey visits Waldesruh again, and learns about Stephan von Namtzen's latest obsession.



Never alone (100 words) by Kayim
Chapters: 1/1
Fandom: Warehouse 13
Rating: General Audiences
Warnings: No Archive Warnings Apply
Relationships: Claudia Donovan/The Warehouse
Additional Tags: Drabble
Summary:

Claudia can feel the Warehouse wherever she is.



That was a seriously fun exchange - low-key, easy to fill, easy to treat, easy to read. Would definitely drabble again.

---

Thanks to [community profile] nanodownunder and Camp NaNo, I've got a first draft of my [community profile] wipbigbang. It came in at 48K (of POI Sentinel/Guide AU) Now I need to squish out the word bloat, edit it, and, um, find an Ameripicker. (Any volunteers? It's Root/Shaw, Harold/John, and my basic plan was this: "There are sentinels and guides. They touch each other on the face gently. A lot.")

I've been writing and writing and writing, and I'm 3K away from my 25K Camp NaNo total, but I'm floundering because I finished my main project, and my back-up project. I guess I should write some more [community profile] 15kisses fics.

Also, I am trying to do nominations for [community profile] femslashex. Nom nom nom!!

Writing! It's haaaaard but somehow words keep coming out of my fingertips like silly string.

---

Linkspam!

- from [personal profile] rahirah, Photobucket alternatives.
(Omg, my profile is a mess. I need to fix it. Not that I've been using photobucket of late, but I don't change my profile much. FFS, photobucket, did you learn nothing from the delicious debacle?)

- From Mental Floss, 15 Things You Might Not Know About Nighthawks.
(The painting, not the bird. This was interesting to me, but there's weird capitalisation of headers in this article. I can't stop looking at it now that I've noticed it.)

- Migaloo the white whale is back on the east coast of Australia. He has a twitter! [twitter.com profile] migaloo1. I'm always glad when he shows up, because it means he's evaded whaling ships again.

- From My Modern Met, Woman Turns Prosthetic Leg Into Chalkboard to Creatively Caption Her Travel Photos. (Somewhat in the same vein from The Betoota Advocate: Local Girl Refers To European Countries As Though They Are Actual People On Instagram.)

Speaking of mocking insta-culture, I was struck by the algorithm, and now my insta is No. Fun. At. All. I know why they did it, and if I were a business using Insta to promote myself, the algorithm would be great. I could overloook the ads, but the lack of chronological feed is killing it for me. I like the posts of people I know, because I want to say "Hey, I like this!" but then that prioritises their posts over the stuff I just ogle for teh pretteh. And it's kinda creepy the way the thing is measuring the time I spend looking at stuff. Though I did find this article interesting, about the formation of insta-pods to game the algorithm:
Instagram influencers use comment collusion to game the algorithm.

- Five ways with pesto
(For all you people overwhelmed with basil. Or beetroot. The beetroot one is so pretty!!)

- International Drone Photography contest.
(There's not much info about the individual photos, unfortunately. There's an image in here that looks like animal harm - men with spears surrounding a fleecy thing - but I did a bit of research and it's from this festival in Spain: La Vijanera. It's a guy dressed up as a monstrous bear aka the embodiment of evil.)

- World realises Americans don’t use egg cups, loses its collective mind
GUYS GUYS IS THIS TRUE? But how do you egg??? HOW DO YOU EGG AND SOLDIERS???

- A Wrinkle in Time first look: Oprah, Reese Witherspoon, Mindy Kaling, and more
(Late to the party on this, but wow, this looks gorgeous.)

Come Along On A Virtual Tour Of This French Butter Factory
(Please enjoy this vaguely erotic video about making butter. How tenderly they caress the butter! How they run their fingers through it!)

- Flower crown free crochet pattern
(I will never be bored of flower crowns.)

- Name of Groans: The Search for the Most Truly Awful Restaurant Name in America
(Baguetteaboudit!)

- Mind MGMT, Flutter Adaptations in the Works at UCP as Dark Horse Re-Ups Pact
(Upcoming adaptations at UCP - I'm most interested in this: Podcasts 'Tanis' and 'The Bright Sessions' are also being developed for the small screen under the renewed deal.)

- From The Toast: Movie Yelling With Nicole and Mallory: The Hunt for Red October
(This capslocky review gave me all the feels. They appreciated all the right things about this movie, like Beverly Crusher and "Perhaps I will need two wives" and "One ping only, Vassily!")

Also, I have now completed my pharmacogenetics training. Cheek swabs for everyone!!

Pimp!

Jul. 29th, 2017 12:59 pm
themightyflynn: (Hugo)
[personal profile] themightyflynn posting in [community profile] hp_bunintheoven

Banner by [personal profile] capitu

Come join [community profile] weasleyjumpers's Mini Fest 2017

links roundup, 7/28/17

Jul. 28th, 2017 04:46 pm
snickfic: (Default)
[personal profile] snickfic posting in [community profile] thisfinecrew
You guys, we did it!!!! Trumpcare is dead for another day.

Feel free to drop other links in the comments below.

Bipartisan House group meets quietly on Obamacare (Politico)

Town Hall Project - Congress is in recess. You can find out who is having town halls here.

Can Roy Cooper Show Democrats How to Win Again? (Politico)

going out of town this weekend

Jul. 28th, 2017 07:36 pm
tassosss: Harvey (scorpy bunny)
[personal profile] tassosss
A cousin filled weekend awaits! I'm both excited to see cousins I haven't seen in a while and I'm already exhausted from the people overload that hasn't happened yet.

The rain today has made my face hurt, so that's probably contributing to my pre-trip tiredness.

I've kind of been checked out the last couple weeks because reality is too much. Seriously the news is insane, and the stunning news that the Cruelty Against Americans bill failed was like expectations whiplash. As was the news that NASA's Earth science budget hasn't been gutted in the Senate. I'm just. I don't know. I think I reached that saturation stage where nothing surprises me except somehow it still manages to be nothing I expected or imagined. The Scaramucci stuff especially is unreal. What did he think a reporter was going to do with that phone call?

Anyway. I know some comments on posts have fallen through the cracks the last couple weeks. I see them on my phone, but I tend to only respond on my laptop, and at home I've mostly been on my ipad reading Dragon Age fic. Nothing of note this week. Just several stories that I read all the way through as much as there was available thinking they were deeply stupid. I'm in that fannish mode of Read All The Things for my ship.

I didn't end up making the breadbook bread last weekend since my sister asked me to babysit. With this weekend's traveling means I won't this weekend either. But I did whip up a pair of loaves of direct method sandwich bread, which I feel like I'm becoming pretty good at as a staple. It's a five hour affair, but no extra days, pre-planning, or extra ingredients needed.

I'm still feeling aimless on the writing front, but I'm determined to keep poking at a couple things to clear them. It's going okay, fits and starts. I'm always searching for that magic bullet of getting shit done, but it's always going to need just plain work in there too, once the shine wears off.

On the Farscape Friday Podcast we posted episode 57, Scratch 'n Sniff today. If anyone needs a pick me up, it's a hilarious episode.

Today's discovery

Jul. 28th, 2017 06:27 pm
james_davis_nicoll: (Default)
[personal profile] james_davis_nicoll
Speaking as someone with a shorter than average "where are they concealing the information I want" fuse, Donald Moffitt's site is reasonably well designed. Unfortunately, one piece of information it shares is that Moffitt died in 2014, which I did not know.

Spared by fate

Jul. 28th, 2017 06:27 pm
selenak: (Branagh by Dear_Prudence)
[personal profile] selenak
...and I don't mean the latest attempt to repeal the ACA, because that particular sparing came through hard work by people who made phonecalls, Senators Murkowski and Collins putting people before party and McCain proving he has a sense for cliffhangers and drama.

No, I just discovered that back in ye early 90s when the first three Bernie Gunther novels were published, successful and thus considered for movie versions, the two actors in consideration for the leading role were Klaus Maria Brandauer (wrong accent and wrong size, but could see him having pulled it off, acting-wise)... and Arnold Schwarzenegger. Thank the universe for small favours the world was spared that one. Nowadays, HBO has aquired the rights to the novels and Tom Hanks wants to executive produce (though again, thank you, universe, for favours, he's too old to play Bernie Gunther now except for the late 50s settings. Also, he's wrong for the part. Nothing against Tom Hanks in principle, but not in this role, at any age.

Since I believe in constructive criticism: I can see Max Riemelt (Wolfgang on Sense8) as Bernie Gunther, and since after the wrap-up movie (yay!), there will be no more Sense8, he's available. Advantages: actually German, actually from Berlin, actually the right age for Bernie Gunther in the 1930s when the series starts (and it's easier to age someone up than to age him down, especially if that actor has to play action scenes), and fluent in English which I assume (since HBO is producing) the series will be shot in. Also, he can do sardonic and increasingly self loathing.

(if it has to be an international movie star, Michael Fassbender would also do.)

(Going to actors who don't speak German and aren't at least half-German: Kenneth Branagh would be good for older Bernie, but just would not be believable anymore for a man in his 30s.)

Meanwhile, have two fanfic links in two different fandoms:

Spider-man: Homecoming:

Just a kid: Both a prequel and a fleshing out to and of canon - covers Peter from Ben's death to the movie. Great voices for all the other suspects, too.


Babylon 5:

The Book of the Dead: in which the Centauri afterlife turns out to be far different than what Londo had expected. Also features a great G'Kar, Timov and Vir!

Music meme: day 18 of 30

Jul. 29th, 2017 05:24 pm
liv: alternating calligraphed and modern letters (letters)
[personal profile] liv
I don't have much to say about a song from the year you were born but I don't like going away from the weekend leaving scary stuff at the top of my journal. I am not enough of a muso to be able to immediately name something other than what was in the charts, and the charts for my birth year seem to be quite uninspiring. I got briefly excited about some Electric Light Orchestra stuff, but it turns out to have been released the year before and was still in the charts the year of my birth.

So about the only song I have positive feelings about is Take a chance on me by ABBA. This reminds me of a coach trip when I was a teenager, when the only music we had was one mixtape someone had thought to bring, that was played over and over on the coach's sound system. I can't imagine now going on a several day trip and only having a dozen songs to play. But anyway, this was one, and it reminds me of good times not quite 20 years after it was actually released. I'm a bit sick of it now because it sorts first in the alphabet in my digital collection and for a while I was using a music player that wasn't very good at shuffle and always started with the first track. But hey, it's cute and poppy and you might not have heard it as much too often as I have.

video embed )

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